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Archive for the ‘Polls’ Category

After the recent negative media coverage over the YI former chairmen, Olly Neville, UKIP have fallen into fourth place (voting intentions for European Elections next year); UKIP were on 17%, but have now dropped to 12% – behind the Liberal Democrats.

Since the removal of Olly Neville and Richard Lowe, over their public support for gay marriage, and the Daily Mirror’s report into private messages on the party’s members forum, “Britain’s third party” has been on the receiving end of intense media scrutiny.

Of course, this is only one poll – we’ll have to wait until others are published to analyses whether or not the gay marriage debate is effecting UKIP’s appeal with voters.

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A poll by Survation of 1163 full and part-time workers for the Unions21 Fair Work Commission has revealed that 72% of British workers feel that employers have more power than employees, with average employees feeling that employers have more than twice as much power in the workplace as they do. Data Tables from the poll are available here.

The poll also highlighted significant concern among employees that this unequal power relationship is being abused by their employers; when asked what they considered the top issue that unions need to concentrate on improving, “Protection from bad employers” was rated top, listed by 27% of employees; equivalent to 8 million of the UK workforce.

The main causes of this imbalance seem to be a rise in part-time over full-time work and lack of job security due to high unemployment, both of which give employers leverage to exploit their workers. “Job security” was rated the second most important issue for unions to address, by 26% of respondents, with pay issues close behind on 24.6%. Meanwhile 16% of part-time workers said that they felt employees had “no power” at all in the workplace compared to 10% among full-time workers.

Survation polled 1163 full and part-time employees on 20-23 November.

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YouGov: Labour 8 point lead

YouGov 20th – 21st November:

LAB 41%

CON 33%

UKIP 10%

LD 9%

GREEN 3%

 

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Survation:

If there was an in/out referendum on whether the United Kingdom should leave the European Union, how would you vote?

Vote for the UK to leave: 52%

Vote for the UK to stay: 33%

CON Voters:
leave: 58.2%
stay: 32.4%
LAB voters:
leave: 44.5%
stay: 41.6%
LD voters:
leave: 48.6%
stay: 38.2%

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TNS-BMRB Scottish Independence Poll:

NO TO INDEPENDENCE 53%

YES TO INDEPENDENCE 28%

 

 

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As Liberal Democrats gear up, yet again, to oppose sections of the governments deficit plan, a new YouGov poll has some painful reading for the party:

“Its leaders are prepared to take tough and unpopular decisions”
CON 48% (+6)
LAB 11% (no change)
LIB DEMS 4% (-2)
“Its led by people of real ability”
CON 21% (+2)
LAB 16% (no change)
LIB DEMS 3% (-1)

The whole welfare debate reinforces a narrative that the party is incapable of taking tough decisions; we still want to take the popular route, again. I haven’t even quoted the figures, from The Sun, regarding who’d make the best Prime Minister – which shows only 5% of the public believe Nick Clegg would make the best choice. The Prime Minister is sitting on 35%; a 14 point lead over Ed Miliband.

Cuts to the welfare budget will be the biggest test for the party to shows its ability to make difficult decisions. If not, then Liberal Democrats will be exposed as hiding on the periphery of the coalition and simply allowing the Tories to make all the tough choices.

Voters reward tough decisions, not no decisions. Time to remember that.

 

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Romney: +5.0

  • Romney’s lead widened to 5 points from 2 points on Tuesday, as he continues to chip away at key Obama support.
  • Romney’s edge among independents widened to 20 points from 18 just a day before.
  • Obama’s lead among women narrowed from 10 points to 8 points.
  • Romney also continues to make inroads among middle-class voters, moving from a 6-point lead against Obama with this group to a 10-point lead.
  • The current data include only polls taken after Romney’s resounding debate win over Obama on Oct. 3.

Polling period: 10/4 – 10/9
Margin of Error: +/- 3.5%
Sample Size: 757 likely voters (identified from 873 registered voters with party affiliation of 39% Dem, 31% GOP, 30% Ind.)
Methodology: Traditional telephone methodology using Random Digit Dial (RDD) landline and cell phone samples

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Opinium/Observer:

LAB 42% CON 30% LIB DEMS 8%

ComRes/Mirror & Indy:

CON 35% LAB 39% LIB DEMS 10% UKIP 8%

YouGov/Sunday Times:

CON 34% LAB 41% LIB DEMS 9%

ICM Wisdom Index:

CON 31% LAB 37% LIB DEMS 18%

Survation/Daily Mail:

CON 29% LAB 41% LIB DEMS 10% UKIP 12%

 

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Cameron verses Miliband

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Latest YouGov/The Sun results:

CON 35%, LAB 41%, LD 9%, UKIP 7%;

APPROVAL  -38

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